Tuesday, October 21, 2008

The Madden Curse is Lurking

It's too early to say that Brett Favre is suffering from the EA Sports Madden NFL curse, which was covered in a previous post. Go back to that post, though, and I guessed correctly that the Billy Goat curse was in full force on the 2008 Chicago Cubbies!

What is readily apparent is that Favre's stats have really fallen off the cliff since the NY Jets had their bye in week 5. Here are Brett's official stats from NFL.com:

Regular Season Games Passing Rushing Fumbles
WK Game Date Opp Result G GS Comp Att Pct Yds Avg TD Int Sck SckY Rate Att Yds Avg TD FUM Lost
1 09/07 @ MIA W 20-14 1 1 15 22 68.2 194 8.8 2 0 3 13 125.9 3 2 0.7 0 2 1
2 09/14 NE L 10-19 1 1 18 26 69.2 181 7.0 1 1 2 29 85.6 2 6 3.0 0 -- --
3 09/22 @ SD L 29-48 1 1 30 42 71.4 271 6.5 3 2 3 30 92.5 2 5 2.5 0 -- --
4 09/28 ARI W 56-35 1 1 24 34 70.6 289 8.5 6 1 2 5 123.7 -- -- -- -- -- --
5 Bye
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.0 -- -- -- -- -- --
6 10/12 CIN W 26-14 1 1 25 33 75.8 189 5.7 1 2 2 23 73.9 1 -1 -1.0 0 1 1
7 10/19 @ OAK L 13-16 1 1 21 38 55.3 197 5.2 0 2 3 21 47.8 2 5 2.5 0 3 0
TOTAL 6 6 133 195 68.2 1,321 6.8 13 8 15 121 92.3 10 17 1.7 0 6 2

Through the first four games, Favre had passer ratings no lower than 85, 12 TDs versus 4 INTs, and was completing over 70.1% of his passes. For a guy who is slightly older than I am, those were awesome numbers! Forget the statistical anomally of throwing 6 TDs in one game; who does that?! Favre definitely still had it through those first four games of the season, even if the Jets were only 2-2.

However, the last two games since the bye are a different story, as you can see above. The passer rating has fallen off the table. Favre completed just 55% of his throws in an ugly West Coast loss to Oakland. He has 4 INTs to just 1 TD in two games. He also continues to average 2.5 sacks per game, which could increase the wear and tear on the ol' QB. While they didn't lose the 3 fumbles Favre had against Oakland, those have to be a concern, as well.

Again, it's too early to tell if the Oakland game was the start of the drop-off in production associated with the Madden curse, or if it was just a one-game blip on an otherwise very solid year. We'll keep an eye on it...

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